Santarcangelo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
PON
0 - 1
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACP
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
ASG
16%
24%
60%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
PIA
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 2
PIA
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
REG
1 - 1
ASL
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 0
TUT
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 0
TER
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |