Santarcangelo vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
59%
22%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
REN
3 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAV
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
USA
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VNZ
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
FAN
70%
18%
11%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 1
FCC
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 2
PRO
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
BV5
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACG
1 - 2
FCC
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |