Santarcangelo vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIN
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAV
28%
26%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USA
2 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 3
REN
23%
25%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 1
FCC
28%
24%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
FAN
79%
15%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 2
ACG
29%
26%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
FAN
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |