Santarcangelo vs Dorando Pietri Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BFM
2 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOR
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CSP
0 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
ACC
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SUC
0 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dorando Pietri Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DPC
0 - 1
ACC
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 3
DPC
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |