Santarcangelo vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAV
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
SAN
68%
21%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
TUT
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TER
3 - 2
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 1
TUT
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
10%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ANC
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |