Santarcangelo vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 2
SAN
31%
28%
42%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 5
PRO
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
RIM
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
MAN
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
MIL
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 1
MAN
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
RIM
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |