Santana vs Pontassolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
12%
19%
70%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AND
0 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
35%
25%
41%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pontassolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 2
PON
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
1MA
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PON
3 - 2
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 1
PON
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |