Santana vs Calheta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AND
0 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
35%
25%
41%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
1MA
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAM
40%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAL
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 1
PON
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 4
CAL
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
1MA
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |