Santana vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
SEC
1 - 3
SAN
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SEC
1 - 1
IAP
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
SEC
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ORC
2 - 0
SEC
64%
19%
18%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
5 - 0
SEC
74%
16%
9%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 3
TDC
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 3
ECM
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPM
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 2
ORC
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
YAP
1 - 0
SPM
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |