Santana vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
YAP
2 - 2
SEC
61%
22%
17%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPM
8 - 1
SEC
61%
19%
19%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
SEC
0 - 2
SAN
22%
22%
55%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ECM
4 - 0
SEC
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SEC
2 - 1
TDC
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPM
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
RDA
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
GAL
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |