Santana vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
60.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 0
SEC
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
TDC
5 - 1
SEC
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SEC
0 - 2
POL
27%
20%
52%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
IAP
3 - 1
SEC
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SEC
7 - 1
SPM
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ORC
1 - 1
POL
44%
22%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ORC
0 - 2
IAP
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
YAP
1 - 2
ORC
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ORC
2 - 0
CRI
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +4 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ORC
1 - 3
ECS
6%
13%
81%
|
26 | 68 | 42 | -1 |