Santana vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 3
TDC
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEC
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
SPM
0 - 2
SEC
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEC
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ORC
1 - 3
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
ORC
0 - 1
SPM
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TDC
0 - 3
ORC
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
ORC
1 - 4
SPM
35%
24%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |