Santana vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
SEC
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
0 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 0
TDC
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +4 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
1 - 0
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
CRI
3 - 4
ORC
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ECM
3 - 3
ORC
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
64%
20%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
16%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |