Santana vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
4 - 4
IAP
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SEC
1 - 0
SPM
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
16%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
YAP
1 - 0
ORC
69%
18%
12%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |