Santacruzense vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
5 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
2 - 1
NOV
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VOT
1 - 1
SJS
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
INT
1 - 1
SJS
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
0 - 2
AGU
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
2 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |