Santacruzense vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 5
SAN
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
77%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAO
85%
12%
3%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
8%
17%
75%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |