Santacruzense vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
87%
11%
3%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
4 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COT
3 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
BOT
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 3
MIR
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |