Santacruzense vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
BEB
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ECN
1 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
PEN
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 2
BAT
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
LEM
73%
17%
9%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 3
ECN
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
3 - 1
LEM
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SEP
0 - 1
LEM
70%
17%
12%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |