Santacruzense vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
FER
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
AUD
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
RIO
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |