Santacruzense vs Itararé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
GRE
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VOC
2 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
25%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
OSV
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VOC
0 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
OSV
49%
26%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Itararé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
AAI
1 - 1
OSV
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AAI
1 - 1
GRE
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 3
AAI
21%
23%
57%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 2
AAI
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
1 - 1
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |