Santacruzense vs Assisense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
OSV
0 - 2
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
VOC
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ECN
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
17%
22%
60%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Assisense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ASS
2 - 0
OSV
21%
25%
54%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 1
VOC
30%
30%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
ECN
2 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
17%
22%
60%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |