Santacruzense vs Assisense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
T10
2 - 1
SAN
23%
20%
57%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
VOC
3 - 0
SAN
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
TUP
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
GRE
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Assisense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
TUP
1 - 0
ASS
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 1
T10
33%
22%
44%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 2
ASS
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 0
OSV
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |