Santacruzense SC vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+637%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAM
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAL
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
SAN
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRU
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
XAV
1 - 0
MAC
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 2
POR
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PON
5 - 0
MAC
77%
14%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 2
CAN
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |