UD Morón vs C.D. Arahelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
MOR
14%
20%
66%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 1
BAR
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MON
3 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 6
LAJ
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MOR
6 - 1
AGU
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CDA
6 - 1
COR
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
CDA
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CDA
1 - 2
MAR
30%
24%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CDA
2 - 2
CDA
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |