Saint Lucia vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BRB
1 - 1
LCA
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
GRD
2 - 0
LCA
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
VCT
1 - 2
LCA
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 4
ATG
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 3
LCA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
DMA
2 - 1
BRB
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
1 - 1
DMA
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
DMA
0 - 4
MTQ
9%
18%
73%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 1
DMA
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
DMA
1 - 4
MTQ
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | -1 |