Santa Lucía vs Kercem Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MTA
1 - 0
SLU
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
QAL
2 - 3
SLU
2%
11%
87%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Kercem Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
KER
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
KER
6 - 0
KAL
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +5 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
KER
3 - 0
ATT
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
KER
1 - 5
RAB
18%
22%
61%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
MDI
1 - 5
KER
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |