Santa Lucía vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
14º
12º
46
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
SLU
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 3
GUD
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SLU
0 - 4
BIR
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZEB
2 - 0
SLU
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SLU
0 - 2
BAL
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
ZEB
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
HIB
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 2
GZI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 5
HIB
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 4
HAM
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |