Cotzumalguapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis

Cotzumalguapa Nueva Concepción
53 ELO 43
1.5% Tilt -6%
31993º General ELO ranking 20564º
49º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
68.9%
Cotzumalguapa
18.1%
Draw
13%
Nueva Concepción

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
Cotzumalguapa
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
13%
Win probability
Nueva Concepción
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cotzumalguapa
-1%
+25%
Nueva Concepción

Points and table prediction

Cotzumalguapa
Their league position
Nueva Concepción
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
18º
17º
21
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juventud Copalera
36
36
100%
Universidad San Carlos
35
35
100%
Suchitepequez
32
32
100%
Iztapa
32
32
100%
Marquense
31
31
100%
Aurora FC
31
31
0%
Juventud Pinulteca
31
31
0%
Sacachispas
30
30
100%
Heredia
14º
24
27
62%
Mictlán
26
26
10º
38%
San Benito CF
10º
26
26
11º
0%
CD San Pedro
11º
25
25
12º
85.5%
Deportivo Barberena
12º
25
25
13º
14.5%
Democracia FC.
13º
25
25
14º
0%
Quiché
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Nueva Concepción
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Cotzumalguapa
17º
18
18
17º
100%
Cuilapa FC
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Sololá
19º
13
13
19º
100%
Deportivo Fraijanes
20º
8
8
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cotzumalguapa
Nueva Concepción
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Cotzumalguapa
Nueva Concepción
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cotzumalguapa
Cotzumalguapa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2023
DJC
Juventud Copalera
3 - 2
Cotzumalguapa
SLC
16%
22%
61%
53 28 25 0
29 Oct. 2023
SLC
Cotzumalguapa
4 - 1
Democracia FC.
DFC
72%
17%
11%
53 38 15 0
25 Oct. 2023
SLC
Cotzumalguapa
2 - 2
CD San Pedro
SPD
52%
25%
23%
53 52 1 0
22 Oct. 2023
QUI
Quiché
0 - 0
Cotzumalguapa
SLC
25%
26%
49%
53 48 5 0
18 Oct. 2023
NUE
Nueva Concepción
2 - 2
Cotzumalguapa
SLC
27%
25%
48%
53 45 8 0

Matches

Nueva Concepción
Nueva Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2023
NUE
Nueva Concepción
0 - 0
Quiché
QUI
36%
26%
38%
43 50 7 0
29 Oct. 2023
SPD
CD San Pedro
5 - 1
Nueva Concepción
NUE
64%
21%
15%
44 52 8 -1
25 Oct. 2023
IZT
Iztapa
1 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
81%
12%
6%
44 60 16 0
22 Oct. 2023
NUE
Nueva Concepción
0 - 1
Suchitepequez
VEN
27%
23%
50%
45 52 7 -1
18 Oct. 2023
NUE
Nueva Concepción
2 - 2
Cotzumalguapa
SLC
27%
25%
48%
45 53 8 0