Cotzumalguapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SOL
1 - 1
SLC
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
MET
1 - 2
SLC
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLC
1 - 1
CHI
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
IZT
0 - 1
SLC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SLC
1 - 1
MUN
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 1
COB
24%
27%
49%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ANT
4 - 0
NUE
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
COM
2 - 0
NUE
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 0
ACH
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |