Cotzumalguapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
SLC
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 1
SLC
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
SLC
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SLC
3 - 2
HAL
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 0
SLC
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
NUE
9 - 1
PUE
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
HUE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HER
4 - 2
NUE
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 2
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NUE
3 - 0
DEP
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |