Cotzumalguapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
HUE
3 - 0
SLC
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 0
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 0
IZT
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HER
5 - 1
SLC
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SLC
4 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NUE
0 - 0
IZT
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
NUE
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 1
NUE
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
PUE
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |