Santa Cruz UD vs Calzada CDB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+163%
+157%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EST
3 - 2
SCR
61%
20%
19%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SCR
0 - 2
CDP
21%
21%
59%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 4
AMG
21%
20%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PCN
2 - 0
SCR
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
STO
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Calzada CDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PCN
2 - 1
CAL
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
STO
0 - 1
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INF
2 - 3
CAL
60%
20%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALM
23%
20%
57%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COR
8 - 1
CAL
74%
15%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |