Santa Cruz RS vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ECA
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEL
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
ISM
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ISM
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SGA
3 - 0
RIO
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 1
ECA
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
SGA
2 - 1
BRA
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SGA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |