Gaucho 2 Knock-outs Final
Global 1-1
Santa Cruz RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAJ
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
LAJ
1 - 1
SAN
28%
26%
45%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAS
52%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 0
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
URS
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
URS
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |