Santa Cruz RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
AIM
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
PEL
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ISM
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AIM
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECA
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |