Santa Cruz RS vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SGA
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ECA
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECA
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
ISM
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
RIO
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |