Santa Cruz RS vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
73.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
JUV
8%
19%
74%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ECS
1 - 0
JUV
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
ECS
84%
12%
5%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ECS
1 - 1
SLU
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
ECS
16%
21%
64%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ECS
2 - 0
SLU
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |