Santa Cruz RS vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAC
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
LAJ
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
ECS
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 0
CAX
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 0
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 0
SAN
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |