Santa Cruz vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 1
SAN
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
SED
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOT
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
4 - 1
NAU
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAU
20%
24%
57%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
RFC
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |