Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
AFP
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
0 - 2
SAN
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
IMP
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOT
8%
15%
77%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 1
BOT
7%
18%
75%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |