Santa Cruz Breakers vs Fresno Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
77.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
SCB
0 - 3
GSF
7%
12%
81%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SCB
3 - 3
SDZ
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
SCB
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SCB
3 - 1
SEA
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SCB
1 - 0
GSC
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 3
GSF
46%
23%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
GSF
3 - 2
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VEN
1 - 2
FRE
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
SCB
92%
6%
2%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
OCB
0 - 1
FRE
3%
9%
88%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | -5 |