Santa Croya vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BOV
0 - 1
SAN
32%
20%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
7 - 4
VIL
59%
18%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 4
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOR
90%
7%
4%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 2
SAN
51%
20%
30%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FRE
0 - 3
CDN
22%
19%
60%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 5
FRE
11%
15%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
BEN
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BOV
4 - 3
FRE
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
VIL
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |