Santa Croya vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BOV
9 - 0
SAN
68%
17%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
SAN
54%
19%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 6
ZAM
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAM
51%
19%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
FRE
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GCE
3 - 1
FRE
81%
13%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 3
MOR
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TOR
5 - 1
FRE
64%
18%
19%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FRE
4 - 3
RCB
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |