Santa Croya vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
SAN
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
BOV
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 3
SAN
34%
23%
42%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
9 - 0
FUE
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAY
1 - 5
FRE
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
FRE
49%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
4 - 1
BOV
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |