Santa Croya vs Villalpando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 4
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOR
90%
7%
4%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 2
SAN
51%
20%
30%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATL
91%
6%
3%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
IZA
0 - 1
SAN
13%
16%
72%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Villalpando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 5
CDN
25%
19%
56%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIL
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
BEN
77%
13%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
VIL
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
BOV
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |