Santa Croya vs Morales de Toro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.3%
8.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COR
1 - 4
SAN
79%
12%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 3
SAN
58%
19%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
GCE
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 2
FRE
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAM
18%
19%
64%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GCE
5 - 1
MOR
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
ATL
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 3
MOR
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
BOV
21%
19%
60%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |