Santa Croya vs Morales de Toro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.7%
9.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAN
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
RCB
74%
14%
12%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
COR
4 - 2
SAN
74%
14%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
5 - 2
SPO
66%
17%
18%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAN
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
MOR
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 3
MOR
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 5
SAC
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 3
FRE
29%
21%
51%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ATL
4 - 1
MOR
48%
21%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |