FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
6º
3º
30
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
INT
1 - 0
SCO
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SCO
0 - 1
FCO
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
SCO
1 - 1
FCR
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PAC
1 - 2
SCO
30%
26%
43%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SCO
4 - 0
ESA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 2
UES
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
LAM
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FCR
6 - 2
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
PAC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |