Sant Julià vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
INT
1 - 3
SJU
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SJU
3 - 1
SCO
29%
25%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 1
SJU
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SJU
0 - 0
UEE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
FCE
0 - 1
SJU
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
UES
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCE
2 - 1
PEN
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
INT
3 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
14%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
SCO
11%
18%
70%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 2
LUS
22%
21%
57%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |