Sant Julià vs Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FCO
4 - 3
SJU
20%
24%
57%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UES
2 - 0
SJU
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SJU
0 - 1
SCO
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
SJU
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UEE
1 - 1
SJU
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
UEE
78%
14%
7%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
6 - 0
FCE
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
LUS
17%
20%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCO
0 - 1
LUS
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 2
UES
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |